Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.439528 0.481754 0.527646 0.581469 0.643174 0.712075 0.795351
2025-08-24 0.364661 0.421648 0.488448 0.573539 0.680528 0.812654 0.991520
2025-08-31 0.319354 0.382354 0.460003 0.564710 0.705387 0.892787 1.170386
2025-09-07 0.293404 0.361171 0.448152 0.571121 0.745994 0.995175 1.396555
2025-09-14 0.267373 0.336052 0.426954 0.560264 0.758611 1.057303 1.574162
2025-09-21 0.249305 0.319207 0.414320 0.558567 0.782466 1.138054 1.798980
2025-09-28 0.229559 0.298085 0.393313 0.541545 0.779459 1.173938 1.952427
2025-10-05 0.223361 0.295135 0.397541 0.562298 0.838430 1.323195 2.362016
2025-10-12 0.216179 0.290021 0.397848 0.576526 0.888052 1.465062 2.805294
2025-10-19 0.206681 0.280703 0.390848 0.577865 0.914919 1.568670 3.200589
2025-10-26 0.194727 0.266874 0.375740 0.563992 0.911939 1.611425 3.461452
2025-11-02 0.183723 0.253804 0.360863 0.549022 0.904788 1.643832 3.707907
2025-11-09 0.174216 0.242784 0.348968 0.538994 0.907608 1.702697 4.070954
2025-11-16 0.165737 0.232939 0.338400 0.530528 0.912870 1.769731 4.500713
2025-11-23 0.158090 0.223953 0.328601 0.522476 0.917805 1.837294 4.974015
2025-11-30 0.153621 0.219741 0.326417 0.528222 0.952568 1.987939 5.857139
2025-12-07 0.146796 0.211347 0.316569 0.518470 0.952092 2.046251 6.416639
2025-12-14 0.141878 0.205801 0.311244 0.516945 0.969874 2.159760 7.323342
2025-12-21 0.135087 0.196840 0.299443 0.501639 0.953760 2.171977 7.751151
2025-12-28 0.134100 0.197438 0.304437 0.520297 1.020734 2.453483 9.966094
2026-01-04 0.132230 0.196435 0.306471 0.533073 1.075625 2.717924 12.552338
2026-01-11 0.128815 0.192623 0.303150 0.534274 1.101295 2.893243 14.860852
2026-01-18 0.123743 0.185745 0.293809 0.521819 1.089297 2.929715 16.092200